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Why Your Open Rates Don't Tell the Whole Story

Priya Nair
Head of Content at SerpHike · Aug 18, 2025

Apple's Mail Privacy Protection pre-fetches email images for a large share of inboxes, inflating open rates regardless of whether a human actually read the email. Click-through rate and revenue per email sent are more reliable, since both require an actual action to register.

What to track instead of open rate

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Illustration of an automated customer journey with trigger, email, WhatsApp and sales handoff steps connected in a flow

What changed in 2021

In September 2021, Apple launched Mail Privacy Protection. It routes emails through proxy servers and preloads their content, including the tracking pixel that records an open, whether or not the person actually reads the message (Litmus on Apple Mail Privacy Protection). At the time, Apple Mail accounted for close to half of all email opens, so open rates across the industry jumped overnight without anyone reading more.

Why this matters for decisions

  • A/B tests on subject lines become unreliable when a large share of opens are automatic
  • Engagement-based segments ("people who opened in 90 days") fill with people who never read anything
  • Send-time optimisation that relies on opens optimises to Apple's servers, not your readers
  • Reporting looks healthier than it is

What to track instead

MetricWhy it is more reliable
Click-through rateRequires a real action
Conversion rate and revenue per recipientTied to business outcomes
Unsubscribe and complaint ratesShow whether content is wanted
RepliesStrong signal for B2B and service emails

Deliverability is the other half

Gmail and Yahoo's bulk sender rules from February 2024 require SPF, DKIM and DMARC authentication, one-click unsubscribe and spam complaints under 0.3% (Resend on Gmail and Yahoo sender rules). A list full of people who never read your emails pushes complaint rates up and inbox placement down. Clean lists regularly based on clicks and purchases, not opens.

Worth knowing

If you must report opens, split out Apple Mail opens and treat them separately. Most email platforms can do this.

See email marketing and the three email flows every business needs.

FAQ

Why are open rates unreliable now?
Apple’s Mail Privacy Protection pre-fetches images for many inboxes, inflating open rates regardless of whether a human actually opened the email.
What metric is more reliable?
Click-through rate and revenue per email sent, both tied to an action rather than a passive, often inaccurate open signal.
Should subject line testing be abandoned?
No, but pair it with click-through and conversion data rather than judging a subject line by open rate alone.
Are open rates completely useless now?
Not completely. They can still flag big deliverability drops. But they should not drive decisions about content or segments.
How should we segment engaged subscribers?
Use clicks, site visits and purchases over a set period, rather than opens.
Published Aug 18, 2025 · Last updated Sep 24, 2026
Email Marketing
Reported against revenue.
Lead Generation
Metrics tied to close rate.
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